Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001604 0.001705 0.001809 0.001925 0.002050 0.002182 0.002330
2025-02-09 0.001475 0.001620 0.001776 0.001957 0.002161 0.002386 0.002652
2025-02-16 0.001419 0.001598 0.001798 0.002037 0.002316 0.002635 0.003028
2025-02-23 0.001333 0.001531 0.001758 0.002036 0.002371 0.002765 0.003266
2025-03-02 0.001231 0.001437 0.001677 0.001977 0.002348 0.002795 0.003379
2025-03-09 0.001154 0.001367 0.001618 0.001939 0.002343 0.002841 0.003509
2025-03-16 0.001105 0.001325 0.001590 0.001935 0.002378 0.002935 0.003702
2025-03-23 0.001052 0.001277 0.001550 0.001912 0.002386 0.002993 0.003847
2025-03-30 0.001010 0.001239 0.001521 0.001901 0.002406 0.003066 0.004014
2025-04-06 0.000966 0.001196 0.001483 0.001875 0.002404 0.003107 0.004136
2025-04-13 0.000922 0.001151 0.001441 0.001841 0.002389 0.003129 0.004231
2025-04-20 0.000867 0.001090 0.001375 0.001772 0.002323 0.003076 0.004215
2025-04-27 0.000856 0.001089 0.001391 0.001819 0.002423 0.003269 0.004582
2025-05-04 0.000838 0.001078 0.001394 0.001848 0.002503 0.003438 0.004927
2025-05-11 0.000837 0.001090 0.001428 0.001922 0.002649 0.003713 0.005454
2025-05-18 0.000811 0.001066 0.001410 0.001922 0.002686 0.003825 0.005732
2025-05-25 0.000769 0.001018 0.001357 0.001867 0.002639 0.003805 0.005795
2025-06-01 0.000736 0.000981 0.001318 0.001831 0.002617 0.003823 0.005919
2025-06-08 0.000715 0.000961 0.001302 0.001827 0.002644 0.003919 0.006180
2025-06-15 0.000690 0.000933 0.001275 0.001806 0.002643 0.003968 0.006363
2025-06-22 0.000670 0.000912 0.001256 0.001796 0.002657 0.004043 0.006595
2025-06-29 0.000647 0.000886 0.001229 0.001771 0.002647 0.004077 0.006754
2025-07-06 0.000623 0.000858 0.001197 0.001740 0.002625 0.004086 0.006870